HIV risk episode
Answered by
University of Washington
Seattle - WA
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I still cant be satisfied that I am ok, especially because I dont know the guy and his activities.
How sure can I be that Im in the clear so I can get on with my life?
The tests are what they are; standard HIV testing (current generation ELISA) will detect approximately 90-95% of infections by 4 weeks, 95-98% by 6 weeks, and 99%+ by 3 months. Let's take 4 weeks and say the test will pick up 90% of infections. Now consider someone whose risk of catching HIV was very low to start, say 1 in 100,000.That person's negative result at 4 weeks means there is only a 1 in a million chance he or she has HIV. That's low enough that can be considered definite. [In epidemiologic terms, the "negative predictive value" of the test, or NPV, is 0.9999999.] Now consider Steve888, who might have had a 1 in 200 risk of catching HIV. The 90% value at 4 weeks, reduces his risk to 1 in 2000, or NPV of 0.9995. That's pretty good, but it's 500-fold less good than 1 in a million; and most people would not be happy with that level of certainty. So Steve888 needs testing at 3 months, when the test detects 99% (probably 99.9%) of infections.
HHH, MD
From what I understand based on the research I've done, the odds of aquiring HIV from this type of exposure is 6.5 in 10,000 (0.06%) IF the receptive partner is pos. Also, most people will have detectable antibodies at 25 days on average. Therefore, a test at 6 weeks can be considered pretty reliable. Nevertheless, due to the risk involved, it is recommended that you re-test at 12/ 13 weeks (3 mos) for a definitive result. I was exposed on 12/05/05; unprotected insertive anal sex