Aa
Debate
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015/08/05/with-trump-at-center-stage-gop-candidates-ready-to-rumble-at-1st-debate/?intcmp=hpbt2
Kick off for the first Republican debate and the Dems have yet to even agree to one. But that is Bush's fault.
Kick off for the first Republican debate and the Dems have yet to even agree to one. But that is Bush's fault.
I've never been happier about missing a debate. With any luck, I'll miss every single one.
Anyone familiar with the Stanford Prison Experiment?
Okay, so life it goes for you as well. Post about the topic please. Mike has now explained where he was coming from so let's move on.
" Its like America is awaking slowly from a bad dream and in about one month, all of America will be awake! "
I assumed you were including me that "all of America will be awake" suggesting that I'm sleeping.
That was why I said "....maybe you're not quite awake yet - still in that twilight stage".
I didn't consider that disparaging when viewed in the context of your post.
I assumed you were including me that "all of America will be awake" suggesting that I'm sleeping.
That was why I said "....maybe you're not quite awake yet - still in that twilight stage".
I didn't consider that disparaging when viewed in the context of your post.
Hurting, taunting, insulting, downgrading to further enhance ones point of view, and give credence to their simple believe, is a tool used by those who have no other way to proof their point and is a sign of frustration and intolorence.
And when that doesnt work, and there is power involved, people get herded up in walled gettos and when there is no more room they are sent on trains to camps not to be seen again.
And when that doesnt work, and there is power involved, people get herded up in walled gettos and when there is no more room they are sent on trains to camps not to be seen again.
Okay, got it now! So let me throw this out there- we hope posts remain about the topic of a thread rather than group members. Life is new and as new members join the group we want them to be comfortable to express themselves so that discussion can happen. Let's be polite and remember that a new member may not know that it can get pretty rough around here. We DO want people to feel safe to post.
i was taking to mikes not you special mom!
Oh. Ha. Well then. . . . Never mind.
He was talking to M
Re read what I write and let me know how that involves you in any way.
I didn't even mention you life. I didn't insult you. I referenced an impromptu poll we had here and people weighed in trump or chump. I didn't insult you.
You could have just said that Trump is a bad dream, so im wondering why you would insult me for expressing my views? To degrade only to enhance your own views. So what have you gained by this?
We had a group tally recently regarding thoughts on trump and everyone said chump. I think trump is ruining republican chances by distracting us. I resent him for that. I am republican, vote republican regularly but would vote democrat over trump.
Trump is a bad dream.......maybe you're not quite awake yet - still in that twilight stage
This is going to be one for the books. With the usual run of the mill elections, candidiate preference mounted slowly over the course of running tacticts but what happening with Trump is every time he says something, it turns in his favor by double. Its like America is awaking slowly from a bad dream and in about one month, all of America will be awake!
August 05, 2015, 05:26 pm
Election model predicts Dem will win
A Democrat will win the White House next year by the narrowest of margins, according to a well-known election forecaster.
Moody’s Analytics is predicting that the Democratic presidential nominee will capture 270 electoral votes in 2016, edging out the Republican nominee’s total of 268.
The model from Moody's, a group that analyzes economic trends, has a perfect track record, accurately predicting every presidential election since 1980; it nailed the number of electoral votes in President Obama's 2012 victory.
The economics-based election model — which relies on presidential election results since the 1980 Ronald Reagan-Jimmy Carter contest — aims to predict voting decisions based on each state’s economic and political situation.
Moody’s will update its prediction each month in the run-up to November 2016.
Overall, the most important economic variable in the model is income growth in the two years leading up to the election.
Wage growth has been tepid this year, though it is expected to pick up as the job market approaches full employment.
But while income growth favors the incumbent party, politics matter plenty, giving the Republicans a boost.
In swing states, the share of the vote that goes to the incumbent party is about 50 percent, and economic and other factors can swing the vote to either party. The key swing states for 2016 include Colorado, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Voter fatigue could weigh heavily against the Democratic nominee. Several swing states would be inclined vote to for the Democrat if not for the two terms President Obama has spent in the White House, Moody’s said.
The direction of president’s approval rating could also make a meaningful difference.
If Obama's approval rating improves leading up to the election, he will probably give his party a boost. But in most elections, the president’s rating has declined in the lead-up to the election, favoring the challengers.
The Moody’s model assumes that Obama’s approval rating will be the same on Election Day as it is today.
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/250367-election-model-predicts-nail-biter-in-2016
Election model predicts Dem will win
A Democrat will win the White House next year by the narrowest of margins, according to a well-known election forecaster.
Moody’s Analytics is predicting that the Democratic presidential nominee will capture 270 electoral votes in 2016, edging out the Republican nominee’s total of 268.
The model from Moody's, a group that analyzes economic trends, has a perfect track record, accurately predicting every presidential election since 1980; it nailed the number of electoral votes in President Obama's 2012 victory.
The economics-based election model — which relies on presidential election results since the 1980 Ronald Reagan-Jimmy Carter contest — aims to predict voting decisions based on each state’s economic and political situation.
Moody’s will update its prediction each month in the run-up to November 2016.
Overall, the most important economic variable in the model is income growth in the two years leading up to the election.
Wage growth has been tepid this year, though it is expected to pick up as the job market approaches full employment.
But while income growth favors the incumbent party, politics matter plenty, giving the Republicans a boost.
In swing states, the share of the vote that goes to the incumbent party is about 50 percent, and economic and other factors can swing the vote to either party. The key swing states for 2016 include Colorado, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Voter fatigue could weigh heavily against the Democratic nominee. Several swing states would be inclined vote to for the Democrat if not for the two terms President Obama has spent in the White House, Moody’s said.
The direction of president’s approval rating could also make a meaningful difference.
If Obama's approval rating improves leading up to the election, he will probably give his party a boost. But in most elections, the president’s rating has declined in the lead-up to the election, favoring the challengers.
The Moody’s model assumes that Obama’s approval rating will be the same on Election Day as it is today.
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/250367-election-model-predicts-nail-biter-in-2016
I'd love to bet you on that....but, alas.
Oh yeah, you forgot to mention the Iraq War. That was a good job too - to borrow your phrase.
Oh yeah, you forgot to mention the Iraq War. That was a good job too - to borrow your phrase.
This will be the biggest land slide presidential election in history. All i can say that is about time. This whole mess started with Clinton smoking weed and getting **,s in the white house and ended with forced health insurance! Good job America.
Trump...........................
You must join this user group in order to participate in this discussion.
You are reading content posted in the Current Events . . . Group
A list of national and international resources and hotlines to help connect you to needed health and medical services.
Herpes sores blister, then burst, scab and heal.
Herpes spreads by oral, vaginal and anal sex.
STIs are the most common cause of genital sores.
Condoms are the most effective way to prevent HIV and STDs.
PrEP is used by people with high risk to prevent HIV infection.
