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I'm not sure about the numbers but after you o your progesterone goes up. I'm also on 50mg of clomid and last month when they took my progesterone they said it was great (not sure of the number) but I still got a BFN. I believe not positive that if your progesterone stays up then you may be preg. I take my temps and when my temp goes down so does my progesterone then af comes but supposedly if your temps stay up 16 days or more it's a good sign you are pregnant. I hope you get a BFP this month...good luck!