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http://www.hcvadvocate.org/news/newsLetter/2006/advocate1206.html
from the article:
"Other Antivirals in Clinical Trials
There were only a couple of presentations at AASLD on two other anti-HCV agents in development, Roche’s polymerase inhibitor R1626 (a prodrug of the nucleoside analog R1479) and the non-nucleoside NS5B polymerase inhibitor HCV-796, co-developed by ViroPharma and Wyeth Pharmaceuticals.
As reported by Stuart Roberts (abstract LB2), 47 genotype 1 patients in a Phase I trial were randomly assigned to receive either oral R1626 twice daily at one of four doses (500, 1500, 3000, or 4500 mg twice daily) or else placebo for 14 days. Final results were presented for patients who received the two higher doses. After 14 days, subjects taking R1626 experienced mean HCV RNA reductions of 2.6 and 3.7 logs, respectively, in the 3000 mg and 4500 mg dose arms. Dr. Roberts characterized the decline as “the best that we have seen with all the polymerase inhibitors studied so far.” R1626 exhibited good tolerability up to 3000 mg twice daily, although adverse events – including mild to moderate hematological changes – were observed at higher doses.
In a separate presentation (abstract 928), researchers reported that an in vitro analysis using an HCV replicon system demonstrated that R1479 (the active form of R1626 in the body) had moderate synergistic effects when combined with either conventional interferon or ribavirin, with no increase in cellular toxicity. Combining R1479 with other anti-HCV agents produced additive effects. Based on results to date, Roche has started a Phase II trial of R1626 in combination with pegylated interferon plus ribavirin."
The polymerase inhibitor pathway of r1626 is quite different to the protease inhibitor pathway of telepravir. It may be that one is more effective in some conditions, and the other in other conditions. Its so very early for these small molecule drugs that there is bound to be more than one solution once all the trial work is done. It takes time, but there is already some early evidence that these drugs could represent a significant advance for geno 1 treatment, at least.
Once you register, go to this link (or type in the search box "HCV 796" (in parenthesis). Look at the articles and find the one that references the "Polymerase Inhibitors" R1626 is in there.
http://clinicaloptions.com/Hepatitis/Conference%20Coverage/Boston%202006/Tracks/HCV%20Treatment/HCV%20Treatment.aspx
EXCERPT:
"However, there was some toxicity at the highest dosage of R1626, leaving the 1500-mg and 3000-mg arms as those targeted to proceed to phase II and combination trials with interferon. Headaches and gastrointestinal adverse effects tended to be more frequently reported in the highest-dose arm. Furthermore, hemoglobin levels decreased by 0.9 g/dL relative to placebo at Day 14 in the 4500-mg twice-daily arm, indicating possible bone marrow suppression. The investigators also reported—but did not specify—a reduction in white blood cells and platelets. This is a concern given the possibility of combination therapy using R1626 with ...........
(and it continues)
Oh, and I posted a message to you a while ago that you did not respond to (I guess you missed it?). It was pertaining to the flavor of the VX pills you were taking. As you recall, you clearly and definitively characterized them as having a "neutral" taste. Now that we know you were not receiving placebo, that seems very odd that your pills were neutral in taste and mine were very bitter. Also, pln's and pds' pills were also very bitter. We now know that both of them were receiving VX and not placebo (as demonstrated by their unblindings). Any ideas as to why your pills were not bitter and all the other VX-ers were? Doesn't that seem strange to you?
Also, you seem extremely confident and very pleased about stopping your treatment at 24 weeks. I think that's terrific, and it's great that you are so optimistic and upbeat. On one hand I can understand the sense of relief of finding out you were on VX, responded well during treatment and have the opportunity to stop so soon (thereby ending the miserable experience of treatment). But on the other hand, you appear to be very HCV savvy and quite knowledgeable about your disease and its treatment. And since you are so HCV savvy, knowing that you started with such a high VL and have F3 fibrosis and knowing that there is no established SVR track record for VX whatsoever (especially for only 24 weeks for a geno 1)...doesn't that give you pause?? I mean, just a little knowing what you obviously know about HCV and current treatments? By that I mean considering the consequences of relapse if the VX turns out not to do the trick this time around. And by that I mean if (god forbid) you do relapse and fail to SVR (as a consequence of only 24 wks vs 48 wks of treatment), you could end up in a bit of a quandary. An F3 liver, no longer treatment naive and therefore no longer eligible for any other drug trials, and VX (and other PI's) possibly 3+ years off into the future before FDA approval (if ever). That would leave you with only SOC available to stave off cirrhosis for at least the next couple of years. But yet you haven't even mentioned, nor apparently considered this most obvious possibility. You appear exuberantly cheerful, and utterly confident in putting your chips down (and F3 liver) on only 24 weeks. It's almost like you aren't even worried a single bit about this clearly possible downside. And why a well informed HCV patient (like yourself) wouldn't be just a bit worried knowing what you appear to know...well that's just a bit odd, no?
Susan
To anybody else who may find this slightly confusing, at 20 weeks we learn whether we're to treat for 24 or 48 weeks. If we happen to have randomly been assigned to Group B, 48 weeks, some of us are certainly going to question dropping out and stopping at 24 weeks, based on some studies, i.e, Jensen et al. For others who got randomized to Group C, 24 weeks, there's going to be some question as to whether this is too risky for our comfort zone. So, even though the study dictates whether we treat, THROUGH THE STUDY, for 24 or 48 weeks, it's certainly our option to drop out and continue or discontinue as we see fit. Please note to those who report to the vertex staff on what we post here that I am NOT advocating doing this. Again, the study is of the utmost importance to me. It's just that I have to put what's best for me before what's best for the study and that's the long and short of it.
Oh, I thought you mentioned owning stock or “having some skin on this” some time back? Did I misinterpret your usage of the phrase “having some skin on this”? If so, my apologies.
“The VX taste thing was subjective at best. I didn't think we could gain much by diving into the definition of bitter, but they weren't bitter to my taste.”
Afraid I’m going to have to strongly disagree with you here. While it’s certainly true that the sense of human taste is largely subjective within a very wide range of many if not most palatable flavors, there are limits that confine this subjectivity to certain boundaries. There are probably plenty of people who would say chocolate pudding tastes “good”, whereas quite a few others would say it’s gooey and awful tasting (and neither be wrong about it for exactly the reason you ventured). But unless the person tasting has some kind of olfactory/taste medical disorder (which I specifically queried you about previously), this is not the case with strong and distinctive primary flavors. For instance, the vast majority of people would easily, quickly and accurately describe a teaspoon of salt as being *very* salty. There would be very, very little “subjective” disagreement about it amongst tasters, due to the clear, strong and primary flavor of pure salt. The same could be said about very sour things, like concentrated lemon juice for instance...or for very sweet things like pure cane sugar. Or even more complex flavors, well, like fecal matter for instance. How many people out there do you think would describe cat poop as having a “neutral” flavor? ;-) Gee, even though human taste is subjective to some extent, I don’t think many people out there would give the ole’ “neutral box” a check next to the “cat poop” taste tester…do you? And above all, the same could definitely be said about intensely bitter things; like VX-950, for instance. Yes, I tasted VX-950 both casually as it quickly slid down my throat, and also very carefully and deliberately by swishing it around in my mouth allowing it to fully dissolve. In both cases it was powerfully and disgustingly bitter, almost to the point of making me gag and even vomit on several occasions. And I don’t have a remarkably sensitive sense of taste mind you, I’d say very average in sensitivity. Maybe even somewhat dulled due to my overuse of very hot peppers in the past (including Habanero and thai). I’ve also enjoyed and even favored very hoppy and bitter beers too, when I still indulged that is. Plus, my evaluation was precisely and exactly the same as a few other people whom I now know were receiving VX950 too. So you’re very vague, ill defined and “neutral” taste characterization of VX950 is, well quite odd to me. Very odd, that’s all.
“I've spent many troubled hours over the 24 vs 48 week tx question, and discussed it at length with the Hepetologist and with my family. Not sure where you got the idea that I "haven't even mentioned, nor apparently considered this most obvious possibility" of a relapse and its serious consequences, but your are dead bloody wrong about that, my friend!”
I’ve been trying to track and pay very close attention to everything you say here. I could have missed it, but I don’t recall you raising that concern here at all. You only seemed very, very pleased to be in the 24 week group. If you did raise that concern/worry here could you refer me to the post(s) where you did? And if you haven’t raised that concern here (and only privately), and as you stated are fully aware of the risk, why haven’t you raised/discussed it here? (like any other very important HCV treatment issue) Not that I’m doubting you, it’s just that it’s fair to characterize your reaction as being downright ecstatic and very confident about being in the 24 week group. You haven’t expressed a worry in the world about it (that I‘ve seen). After observing you (and what you’ve said here) over the past few months, you seem very well informed in regards to HCV (and Vertex, too btw), and so naturally it seems very odd to me that you wouldn’t be as worried as I am about possibly relapsing in lieu of: (a) the historically short 24 week treatment cycle, (b) advanced fibrosis, (c) advancing age (you‘re well over 40 I take it), (d) high viral load, (e) type 1 and (f) no statistical evidence yet whatsoever that 12 weeks of VX-950 will substantially increase SVR rates, especially with only a truncated 24 week treatment cycle. And especially where it would leave you (as previously described) if it you don’t get an SVR (i.e. no longer treatment naïve with advanced fibrosis and nothing new on the horizon for at least 2-3 years). The consequences could be quite dire, even life threatening. So again, that’s why your unbridled jubilance for being in the 24 week group (as expressed here on many occasions), with no “reluctant qualifiers”, strikes me as odd.
“At the end of the day, I've chosen to stick with what I agreed to do when I signed up for the trial. There were many factors in that decision, some of which were more family related than anything else.”
What did you agree to? I agreed to consent and participate in the trial, but with the express and explicit option to withdraw consent and discontinue at any time and for any reason.
“Having made that decision I'm now acting accordingly. Its really that simple. I'm not utterly confident, naive, or in denial, but nor am I going to revisit a made decision over and over again.”
Well that’s just it - I wouldn’t characterize you as being naïve or in denial. But “utterly confident” could be a way of describing your reaction to being in the 24 week group. Again, considering your stats and HCV knowledgeable stance, that’s somewhat puzzling...no?
“There are risks on both sides of this question, and we all have to make choices then live them as strongly as we can.”
Absolutely, there are risks on both sides of the equation. But considering the specifics concerning your particular situation, and the patent absence of VX950 SVR performance so far; wouldn’t you say the risks are far greater on the 24 week side than on the 48 week side? I know I sure would.
Now, just for clarity, subjects in the VX trial signed an agreement to participate with full knowledge that they would be randomized in to one of four groups, each with different treatment profiles. Aside from the control arm, the difference between groups is simply the duration of SOC dosing after the initial 12 weeks of VX + SOC. Subjects also know that the double blind trial design meant that neither they nor their trial coordinators nor Vertex staff would know which subject was in which group until the end of week 20.
What mremeet appears to be saying is that despite having made that agreement, a subject may choose to drop out of the trial and then to do what they wish if they don't like the group they are in. 24 week [12 + 12] subjects could find an external source of SOC for an additional 24 weeks. 48 week subjects could choose to stop SOC at 24 weeks. Self interest rules!
In each case, these subjects would be lost to the trial population. The more subjects that are lost to the population, the weaker are the final data derived from the trial. The weaker the results, the longer it may take to get the drug into the hands of heppers who need it [assuming the drug is shown to improve the conditions and/or results of tx, of course]. If my sticking with the agreement helps the quantity and quality of the results, then that's a good thing for everyone, me included.
Frankly, there would need to be a compelling case that extending SOC beyond 24 weeks after combo therapy with VX950 would increase my chance of SVR. Obviously, there is no data and no basis for such a decision. Just because this is the current thinking for SOC does not mean is is also conveneintly true for VX950 in combo with SOC. This trial is designed to yield initial data on VX950 therapy in combo with SOC, and until it does, there is nothing but assumption and opinion.
It took me most of the last year since dx to learn a little and to wrestle this problem down to the decision I've made. Forgive me if I didn't post very much on this process, but it was intensely personal and difficult for me. I'm in my 50's and have never been seriously ill before. I had never had cause to question my ability to keep on doing what I'd been doing for the past 20 years or so. My near-adult children had never seen me ill. My wife could rely on me to be there no matter what. As we all know, all that changed.
I'm not saying its right, or the best decision. I'm saying its my decision, and I'm ready do do my damnedest to move from UND to SVR over the next 48 weeks.
Bottom line is that this report is great preliminary news about the ever burgeoning realm of new and more powerful anti-HCV drugs. But you shouldn't hang your hat on it making it all the way through its trials sucessfully. Only time (and more extensive testing) will tell if it can do that.
(holy moly, ya see - it's hard to explain :) ....
But what is expected now (from all I've heard and read and been told by those I think who are on top of things AND by my docs) is that the newer drugs, IF marketed (however long that might take) will be used in conjunction with the standard Peg and Rib and will possibly reduce the treatment time from 48 weeks to something less AND bump the success rate up for Geno 1 from 50% to something much better. But that is all "hearsay", or ... premature, at best. BUT - it's what everyone (docs, patients, tx naives, nonresponders, relapsers, etc.) is HOPING for, I think.
Hope this didn't confuse you more :)
Being a stage 3, I experience an urgency to treat at times and I deal with it by researching and for laughs, I follow the boards of a FEW biotech companies working on Hep C drugs. Makes me feel better to read that Vertex recieves 25 million in payments from here and there to stay funded to keep workin on VX950 to save my butt someday.
But those boards, they are full of folks who mostly do not give a rat about which product will work. Some of them buy bits of the future and pay to bet that Vertex will fail. I work out my frustration by trying to post useful research and empirical evidence from our experiences, but I am still just "revenue opportunities" to them. I have grown a thick skin, but am still wondering why you burst out with the slightly harsh, cautionary words to APkhaos.
Jeez, we all know what a **** shoot the virus has set up for us. Most of us are getting by every day on a little hope and a few laughs and the enjoyment of reading about the small success experienced, even briefly, by our peers. Makes my day, anyway.
Willow
K :)
Lastly, *always* remember whilst on the internet: caveat emptor.
Some did SOC 24 weeks, some did 48 weeks, etc.
Given that it is the trial doctors and not you in control of the time parameters or dosages, there isn't much participants can do about it but remain optimistic and be glad the tx course will end sooner yet hope it will still be successful. If it IS successful with 24 weeks SOC that bodes well for us all.
Susan
The VX taste thing was subjective at best. I didn't think we could gain much by diving into the definition of bitter, but they weren't bitter to my taste.
The points you raise about 24 vs 48 weeks of SOC are both true and obvious. There is no data to support the effectiveness of VX + SOC over any period of tx at present. That can only come from the trial data. I've spent many troubled hours over the 24 vs 48 week tx question, and discussed it at length with the Hepetologist and with my family. Not sure where you got the idea that I "haven't even mentioned, nor apparently considered this most obvious possibility" of a relapse and its serious consequences, but your are dead bloody wrong about that, my friend!
At the end of the day, I've chosen to stick with what I agreed to do when I signed up for the trial. There were many factors in that decision, some of which were more family related than anything else.
Having made that decision I'm now acting accordingly. Its really that simple. I'm not utterly confident, naive, or in denial, but nor am I going to revisit a made decision over and over again. There are risks on both sides of this question, and we all have to make choices then live them as strongly as we can.
But I could not live in a world ruled by doubt. So I pick a place to live, full of my virus, full of laughs, full of very complicated research (I have children in professions to help with this), and mostly hope. Being geno 1, stage 3, there isn't much left to me.
My words to you? "You get what you give."
And please don't misunderstand what I said to apk. I'm not coaching him to extend treatment beyond his assigned group, nor attempting to seed him with doubt because of his "health condition". I just wanted to hear his responses to the referenced questions and a few more I have for him. I just think he's an interesting fella, and I'd like to hear what he has to say...that's all. ;)
I understand that VX-950 initially was tested as a mono-therapy but made such a bad showing that it quickly switched towards being an addition to current med protocol.
The significance, and downside, of this is mostly for those, like myself, who suffer severely from the anemia and/or leukopenia side effects from current Peg/Riba therapy. Unless the addition of these meds to the therapy protocol significantly cut the treatment period, they may not hold as much promise for those who still will not be able to complete a total treatment period.
Next year, there are plans to try the PI's without riba, which will help someone like you who has issues with blood counts. So in your future, you could possible experience tx for just 24 weeks, with no riba. That makes me want to dance too.
I hate riba.
Willow
I would worry if the tx was 24 weeks because I wouldn't want to have to retreat if it failed. I would also want them to be able to use my data. Really hard decisions to make.
I know each of you will decide what is best for you to do.
""the patent absence of VX950 SVR performance so far; wouldn’t you say the risks are far greater on the 24 week side than on the 48 week side? I know I sure would.""
I'm not even sure who is trying to say what with this statement, but it provoked a response for me. Having done IFN for 24 weeks and then suffering viral breathru, the side effects of IFN are still plaguing me far worse than the virus has. It has been two years for me and I did realize some healing from the time on IFN, but have now moved into some rapid movement from one stage to another. At this moment, after talking to my doctor many times, IN MY CASE, the risks would be far greater to me on 48 weeks.
If it ain't happened in 24 weeks, UND, I ain't sure it will happen at all. But if someone has the stones to try 48 weeks, good for them. If you listen to my doc, he would say 24 is enough.
Have I missed something in this discourse between you and mremeet? Why are you in this arena of having to defend your decisions? None of us here deserve that, no matter how "curious a fella" someone else finds us.
VX or not, 24 weeks is a damn good try. Like I said, if someone else wants to give it a shot for 48 or 72 or 102 even, well, rock on. My doc made a compelling case for me not to continue. Mutations and quasi-species abound. Sorry for the grilling you seem to be getting, do you deserve it for some reason? I can't seem to find one reason why, none of us deserve bad treatment.
Like I said before..."you get what you give." I can only hope this issue mremeet has with you becomes clearer to me, anyone on the VX950 trial is important to me, it is my only hope for the future.
Willow
I wonder how did your doctor determine you have "mutations and quasi species" abounding? Did you have some special test, or it that the doctor's speculative answer to your breakthrough? It could be that you needed higher doses of both drugs or some other reason you had a breakthrough.
Why do you say IFN caused your problems? Did you develop some autoimmune stuation that is attributed to IFN? What problems developed? I thought you have the virus now and have a similar level of liver damage as me, which is stage 3. That alone can cause a whole myriad of symptoms and could have nothing to do with your course of IFN. I don't know all the particulars, but even if VX does pan out, IFN will still be part of it's use in future treatment scenarios.
My doctor is from the University of Washington/Harborview Hepatitis and Liver Clinic and he used extensive blood work, ct scans and my biopsys to put together a "profile" for me, how and when my vl load dropped, when I relapsed, etc. I understand that there are now several "profiles" for non-responders, slow responders, or folks like me with viral breathru.
If I leave this screen to go back and check out the rest of your questions, I will lose all I typed. I will check and post any more of the answers you might need. What wonderful geeks this virus has made of us all. I am a Hep C geek, and I wish to hell I was not.
Willow
He was on track to get the U of Washington certified as a VX950 trial site for the phase including non-responders, which would include me, I hope. Perhaps it is just empirical in my case, but it feels like VX950 will be the quickest, most effective treatment for me. I do not look forward to maintenance and my doc believed it would only cause more mutations and quasi-species, so I backed off. He would have prescribed maintenance if I wanted, but he was very persuasive.
If any of us have done IFN and not gone UND, then we carry mutations and quasi-species. It is the mechanism that allows the virus to continue to thrive in the presence of INF.
Boy, if any of my geekness has been recalled or outdated, please let me know. God gave me grace when I caught Hep C, reorganized my priorities and I welcome any new info.
Willow
My understanding of it is that we all have mutations/quasi species, breakthrough or not. I wonder why he would talk you out of maint. as that is what I have been encouraged to do by several doctors should this tx fail due to my sustantial damage.
I can understand not wanting to use maint. due to sides but I wonder if it wouldn't be a toss up to the sides caused by HCV and your level of liver damage.
My worry is that time is going by and the pipeline treatments are at least several years away, even VX. You are symptomatic now which worries me. If you are slated to be in an upcoming trial that would be 2007, right? Has he assured you you would fit the trial criteria and that you will be a candidate? My damage seemed to progress rapidly once it got started so I don't feel I can afford to pass on IFN. It does seem to have already improved my liver damage using it for the last year+.
If you are able to pull back the damage somewhat with maintenance, your chances of success with future treatments is improved. Did the doctor suggest you try tx again using a different IFN or increased dosing?
Your post echoes so many of my own fears about my rapid progression and you are exactly right about maintenance stopping some of the progression for a while. If I cannot be enrolled in a trial by this summer, then it is maintenance for me until VX950 is available at a trial somewhere close to me.
I have to make a confession, it is sometimes easier to place hopes in a drug like VX than to face the prospect of going back on maintenance. But I truly believe my doctor is giving me his best advice right now, and he has said that we would reassess my situation every six months. So, I'm here waiting until the first of the year to hear from ole Doc Scott again regarding VX and when, and if, it might be available to me. If not, then in March I will go on maintenance.
Ole Doc Scott was pretty freaked out mutations against IFN, but as times goes by and my fatigue, nauseau gets worse, he is beginning to think along the lines of maintenance. He seems to be monitoring my appetite and weight as a gauge. So far I am still a bit plump, BMI is high and am walking every day. But it gets harder and I get out of breath quicker, so we shall see. I wait for January with anticipation of what, I am not exactly sure.
Willow
Personally, I agreed to participate in the study and I intend to follow the protocol (barring any unbearable sides). As apk said, the decision has been made. There's a person in my study group that was thinking about quitting as soon the first 12 weeks of vx dosing were finished. He's still hanging in there at week 16 (like me), maybe until he gets unblinded...I'm not sure.
mremeet...won't you be getting unblinded soon? I know you are already on the vertex, but I was curious about which arm and your viral load. I've also been interested in the "taste" discussion. Considering there was no bitterness to my vx pills, I've always assumed I'm in the control group. However my Dr. said he is very confident that I'm responding well to treatment, which is the bottom line.
Best of luck to all of you no matter what you decide!!!
I am glad you are on a time frame to reaccess but waiting until next summer seems like a long time to leave it untreated to me. I would worry that for some reason if you do not qualify as a participant in the possible upcoming trial there, or the doctor can't guarantee you a spot that would leave you behind the eight ball. Will your doctor be the one deciding if you will get in? Will ey let you in with your damage level? I would think criteria would come from outside and your doctor would oversee the trial, but who knows. I just hate to see anyone wait on better things that are not proven yet when there is a tx available now that can help you stop and possibly reverse some of that damage. You have a great attitude and I feel attitude is everything when it comes to dealing with this tx. so you have the main ingredient bagged already!
Im not sure why he is all hung up on the idea of mutations, we all have viral muttions and yours are not worse than other people's, he has no way of guaging that anyway unless he has done some special viral testing that we know nothing about. It is likely you just didn't have enough of a dosage and that is wny you had a breakthrough. I tried to look back and find your tx progression but I couldnt, when did you start tx, at what week did you breakthrough, what dosages were you on? How long did you treat?
Treating brings it's own side effects but for me the effects of HCV on my immune system and liver were far worse. It sounds like you have quite a few sides daily from the disease. Many if not all of the problems I was having resolved on tx. My enzymes have been normal (under 30) for a year now, so even with sides I can rest assured my liver is not being assaulted by this damn virus. even if I dont manage to clear the virus, I have stopped it's progression.
Sorry to butt in and comment on your scene, but I worry about you and decided to say something as we seem to be in a similar situation but doing very different things.
Take care, hope today is a good day.
Willow
http://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/460551_4
Very valuable study - thanks much for the link, Kalio!
I made a comment a while back 'having skin in the game' with regard to the VX trial. What I meant was that I was not an idle bystander, but a subject IN the trial. The results truly mean something to me! He took this comment to mean I owned stock in Vertex, which I don't.
Frankly, I couldn't spell HCV before being diagnosed mid last year, and had no knowledge of Vertex or VX950 until my doctors suggested that I might be a good candidate.
If someone is looking to push a conspiracy theory about company moles in the board population, I guess that's their paranoid right. If someone accuses me of misrepresentation in anything I have done or said on this board, then they are dead bloody wrong and had better stay clear of me in person.
Oh, and we know it's so simply because you say so? Sorry, but that doesn't work for me.
"What mremeet appears to be saying is that despite having made that agreement, a subject may choose to drop out of the trial and then to do what they wish if they don't like the group they are in. 24 week [12 + 12] subjects could find an external source of SOC for an additional 24 weeks. 48 week subjects could choose to stop SOC at 24 weeks. Self interest rules!"
Nonsense. First off, I'm perfectly capable of speaking for myself. I don't need you to misinterpret, 'reformulate' and broadcast to others what I've said in a vain attempt to divert attention away from yourself while suggesting I'm some sort of bad guy. I never said you or anyone else should do as you've suggested above. Nor did I say I was considering changing my assigned group (whatever that might be). All I did was pose a very simple question to you based on the clear and obvious *facts*. If that question blows your mind even just by simply reading it, or if it's opened up some kind of bewildering and deeply troubling cognitive pandora's box for you...then I suggest you stick to the Disney channel. And also, you don't need to concern yourself with what I might or might not be suggesting to other people. That's my business, not yours. When I signed the agreement you referenced above, I never agreed in writing or verbally to be muzzled during the trial, nor to not discuss the full details with others, nor to not exchange information with other participants, nor to forgo my basic first amendment rights. I'm absolutely free to speak openly and extensively about any and all of my experiences, thoughts and musings pertaining to this trial. And if you can't handle that, then that's your problem, not mine. Although it's interesting to note that you so deeply object to me discussing the mere possibility of negative ramifications arising as a consequence of stopping treatment at 24 weeks with others here, much less the logical possibility that emerges from that. But we'll get back to that later...
"In each case, these subjects would be lost to the trial population. The more subjects that are lost to the population, the weaker are the final data derived from the trial. The weaker the results, the longer it may take to get the drug into the hands of heppers who need it [assuming the drug is shown to improve the conditions and/or results of tx, of course]. If my sticking with the agreement helps the quantity and quality of the results, then that's a good thing for everyone, me included."
Well, speaking purely hypothetically: if a study participant was assigned to the 24 week group, and then wanted to be extended to 48 weeks, why would that necessarily preclude that person's data from being used in the trial? First off, all the blood work data and any side effects the person experienced during the first 24 weeks is still available and remains *very* useful in and of itself. It doesn't all of sudden cease to be useful or magically evaporate into thin air, does it? Secondly, and more importantly, if that patient remains under the uninterrupted care and supervision of the assigned study center doctor continuously, then why couldn't that person's data simply continue to be collected, used and added into the 48 week group instead? (thereby enlarging the statistical significance of that group, and hence enhancing the quality of that group's data) The data would be precisely the same, and would be held to the exact same standards as any normal 48 week participant - nothing would be different in any way. There's no reason why it couldn't be done, none at all. Now, if vertex or the trial doctor or whomever puts their foot down and declares that patient is no longer a viable source of scientific data (for whatever reason)...well that's up to them, but clearly, it doesn't have to be that way at all. And once again, simply discussing this purely hypothetical situation is in no way an endorsement of, nor a recommendation for anyone to engage in this behavior.
Lastly, there are certain patients who've experienced serious problems during their trial as a consequence of significant negative side effects (like myself, for instance). There are quite a few folks who are/were in the 12 and 24 week groups who experienced early VX dose cessation and/or IFN and/or ribavirin dose reductions and/or experienced a relatively sluggish viral response (taking much longer to go UND than most others), and/or were forced to take immunosuppressants like prednisone/solumedrol to deal with serious allergic reactions, especially during their first 12 weeks (considering rescue drugs were forbidden during this timeframe). In these cases, the notion of blindly stopping at 24 weeks, and especially at 12 weeks, simply because that's the group you were preassigned to isn't so clear cut. In fact, the trial already has provisions for extending treatment beyond 12 weeks for those assigned to that group that meet some or all of the criteria described above. There may be similar provisions for the 24 week group as well. And speaking for someone like myself, if I were to stop at 24 weeks, could my data really be incorporated into the aggregate and used for meaningful predictive purposes? I doubt it. Would it be scientifically sound to compare my (apparently) peculiar situation with early VX cessation, severe rash leading to extensive prednisone/solumedrol/topical steroid usage along with on and off ribavirin dose reductions? I'd say that'd be comparing apples to oranges if you incorporated my data (and subsequent SVR/relapse experience) in with "uneventful" patients who underwent a full course of all drugs with minimal sides.
"Frankly, there would need to be a compelling case that extending SOC beyond 24 weeks after combo therapy with VX950 would increase my chance of SVR. Obviously, there is no data and no basis for such a decision. Just because this is the current thinking for SOC does not mean is is also conveneintly true for VX950 in combo with SOC. This trial is designed to yield initial data on VX950 therapy in combo with SOC, and until it does, there is nothing but assumption and opinion."
This is just an absolutely silly thing to say. On the one hand you're saying that there would have to be a compelling case to extend beyond 24 weeks in order to get your SVR. But on the other hand you say there is no data or basis for such a decision. Therefore! You've decided that until that data exists, it's pure assumption or opinion to suggest you'd be better off with 48 weeks then 24 weeks. Let me tell you something that isn't pure assumption and opinion - your odds of SVR-ing WILL be higher with 48 weeks of treatment, no matter how high the 24 week SVR rate may (or may not) turn out to be. Secondly, just as there is no data or basis for asserting that more than 24 weeks is required, obviously there isn't a single lick of evidence (yet) that a mere 12(VX+SOC)+12(SOC) weeks is all that's going to be required for a patient meeting your specific criteria to SVR (or any other criteria, for that matter). Simply put, the reason Vertex has 12, 24 and 48 week VX groups and is stopping treatment at these various intervals within these groups, is because they want to see what will happen. The reason they want to see what will happen, is because they don't know what's going to happen. And the reason they don't know what's going to happen, is because no one has ever been to that point before - ever.
"It took me most of the last year since dx to learn a little and to wrestle this problem down to the decision I've made. Forgive me if I didn't post very much on this process, but it was intensely personal and difficult for me. I'm in my 50's and have never been seriously ill before. I had never had cause to question my ability to keep on doing what I'd been doing for the past 20 years or so. My near-adult children had never seen me ill. My wife could rely on me to be there no matter what. As we all know, all that changed."
That's fine that you've made a personal decision, and that's certainly your perogative. But it's curious you're not so private with every other aspect of your care. Like everyone else here, you've come to a (worldwide) public forum to openly discuss your health and treatment situation. Details including your sex, age, marital/family status, VL, genotype, LFT's, fibrosis scoring, trial experiences etc etc etc. You've not had a single problem openly discussing any and all of these details, why would the issues arising concerning 24-48 wk duration be so sacrosanct, private and verboten for even the most cursory discussion? Furthermore, for some strange reason not only is that *particular* concept verboten for discussion, extreme happiness with zero reservation/concern is expressed for being in the 24 week group. That doesn't make sense.
Let me finally come to the point. Myself, and perhaps a few others here think you're fishy. We've been carefully watching and making note of what you've been saying basically since you got here. You've tripped up on several occasions and contradicted yourself. Did you know that? You haven't been keeping your story straight. Not only that, you came here only after other trial participants were here first and began discussing some sensitive details of the trial. Vertex then found out about this particular forum and began monitoring it. Did you know that? Not only did they monitor it, there are a few participants that were actually repeatedly yelled at by their study centers and chastised for discussing certain details/concepts about the trial here (after Vertex contacted them directly and told them of this forum and what was said on it). In fact, I'm almost certain I'll be hearing about this post on my next appointment. Only after that did you emerge, and curiously you were in front of all of us, had sophisticated knowledge of HCV, its treatment, and especially of Vertex itself (more than anyone else here). Since you had started treatment earlier than all of us (although one of the last to arrive here), that was a good thing, because you could then lead the way. You'd then be the first to, as in this case, get to the 24 week mark. Then you could coach us all about how fantastic it would be to be in that group, express zero concerns for possibly failing to SVR with such a short course of treatment, and also thwart/discourage "undesirable conversations" by passing stern moral "dudley do-right" judgments on anyone who might even vaguely discuss placebo detection, offstudy PCR's, or even the hypothetical consequences concerning stopping at 24 vs 48 weeks (especially in regard to someone bearing a risky profile, like yourself). You also showed absolutely zero curiosity in the flavor of your pills and zero interest in offstudy PCR's. You're the only participant I've spoken to that has taken that stance, or that has expressed zero concern about stopping at 24 weeks (prior to me bringing it up). You also went a long way at foo fooing the rash I had earlier and downplaying the likelihood it was being caused by VX (later to be validated by my doctors and the Vertex press release). Then later you relayed your own experience with a rash, but only immediately *after* (almost to the day, if you recall) your VX dosing stopped (conveniently clearing VX of any wrong doing in your case). Even many casual posts, like the first one you made in this thread, testily defending VX in response to a simple/innocuous question concerning the effectiveness of a competing PI under development.
I really don't know if Vertex has put a "company man" here in an effort to manage/manipulate information regarding the effectiveness and potential side effects of VX950. What I do know is that they are definitely monitoring this board. They also stand to make or lose billions of $$$ depending on how this trial goes. I also know that pharmaceutical stock traders are commonly accessing this particular forum for gaining information/insight into the likely future success of VX950 (simply go to nearly any online trader site to verify). What is said on this forum can and does have some direct effect on the short term Vertex stock price. Vertex knows this, the only question is would they go so far as to actually put someone here to help "manage" the situation? And not that that person would be you, heaven forbid!! ;-)
And if you are the vertex man, you might want to start keeping closer tabs on the details of what you say here for consistency's sake. Maybe start a spreadsheet with all of your posts categorized by subject matter? That way any particular subject that has been previously discussed can be checked prior to posting to maintain consistency with future posts. Makes for a more palatable story in the end. ;-)
In the meantime, I'll continue to slog away with my treatment, as I'm sure you...will too? At least for a few more weeks anyway.
Either way, please don't take it personally. Always remember "it's just the internet, man."