I'm 38 years old. This is my second pregnancy. I delivered a healthy baby in the first. According to my LMP, on January 22nd, I should have been 8w 6d. I had a vaginal ultrasound done and the doctor was able to see a fetal pole measuring 5w 4d. There was no fetal heartbeat visible. The sac margins appeared crenulated according to her. She recommended checking my beta HCG levels and a follow-up u/s. My HCG levels were 27900 on 22nd Jan and only 28600 on 24 Jan. I did a follow up u/s on 31st Jan. There were 2 sacs visible, one was shrunk and the other was looking good. The doctor could not detect a fetal pole or heartbeat. The sac measure was corresponding to 6w 2d. During the u/s, I started spotting (dark brown). The spotting continues. The doctor said that the pregnancy does not look good, but wanted me to wait and have another u/s after a week. My periods are fairly regular, with cycles of around 33-35 days. I would like to understand what the chances are for my pregnancy to me healthy. If it does result in a miscarriage, are there specific reasons why it happens?