There simply are no data; we don't know. I would think testing would be pretty accurate 4 weeks after completing PEP, but really can't say more. Sorry.
I meant the END of treatment. So it would be 8 weeks after exposure. Would 4 weeks after exposure with PEP still be fairly accurate?
It's splitting hairs to worry about 28 days from exposure or treatment. Presumably your PEP was started within 3 days (most experts don't recommend it after that) -- and there probably is no measurable difference in test performance between 25, 28, or 31 days. Just follow your PEP provider's advice about it.
Thank you for the response.
I know the conclusive results are 3-6 months after PEP treatment has ended.
How comfortable can I be if I take an antibody test at the end of 28 day PEP treatment? You said the 70-80% seemed right. But is that 4 weeks after treatment or after exposure?
Thanks
Welcome to the (correct) forum. I can help.
Assuming you are in the US or other industrialized country, the average chance any particular female commercial sex worker has HIV is no higher than 1% (1 in 100) and usually more like 1 in 1,000. In this case, however, the risk could be higher; starting sex work at age 15, it seems a reasonable bet she has been abused, perhaps orginally forced into prostitution, etc -- a high risk situation. That said, most people, even CSWs, don't lie when asked directly about HIV status.
If a woman has HIV, with unprotected vaginal sex the average transmission rate to male partners is once for every 2,000 exposures. Still, the advice you receive PEP was not unreasonable. Such decisions depend a lot on local epidemiology, i.e. the frequency of HIV in CSWs locally. If your clinic or doctor felt this exposure was sufficiently high risk to suggest PEP, I respect that decision.
To your specific questions:
1) See my comments above about the 1 in 2,000 risk. HIV is not instantaneously transmitted.
2) Ejactulation during or after sex has no known effect on HIV transmission from female to male. (But ejaculation in the vagina probably increases the female risk if the male partner has HIV.)
3) Good question; you have done some useful research. There are indeed theoretical reasons that using alcohol or other disinfectants (or even washing with soap) may increase the risk of HIV if exposed. But if so, it's a small effect and this doesn't alter my judgment that you are at low risk of HIV.
4) True, there are no studies in humans to prove that PEP works to prevent HIV after sexual exposure. That doesn't mean it doesn't work; it's just a very difficult thing to study and the strong consensus among experts that PEP works. Once started, don't stop; it's early cessation of treatment that increases the risk of HIV drug resistance , so that would be exactly the wrong thing at this point.
5) There are no good data on the effect of PEP on time to reliable HIV testing. My guess is that your numbers are about right for a test at 4 weeks. Because PEP may delay antibody development if the drugs are not successful, most if not all experts recommend that testing after PEP be carried out through 6 months after exposure. (It's one of the downsides of PEP -- potential prolongation of anxiety until definitive results are available. However, most experts also agree that the results at 8-12 weeks remain reliable; the last test at 6 months is just a precaution.
The doctor/clinic that prescribed PEP should be the main source of any additional questions you may have. For sure follow their advice about how long to continue treatment and testing over the next few weeks or months. But I hope this information has been helpful.
Final word: Next time use a condom, for goodness sake!
Regards-- HHH, MD