Hi, okay so here's the scenario, but first, let me just state that I am normally a very cautious person with things such as sex, I have only had 2 sexual partners before(including oral) and my previous one being a long term girlfriend that was on the contraceptive pill, and even when I was with her I still used a condom and pulled out(as I said I'm usually very careful). Anyway so about 2 weeks ago I was at a party and I got very intoxicated, I started getting into things with a girl that I have known for a few years, as things begin to escalate I realise that we have no condom and so I asked if she was on the pill, to which she replied no, anyway she then gave me oral sex for about 15 minutes and before I realised how stupid it was we were having sex, it must have been about 10-15 seconds in when I realised and pulled out telling her that it is silly and we shouldn't continue, she agreed and then proceeded to once again give me head for about another 10-15 minutes, at no point did I feel even close to ejaculating as I had had quite a fair bit of alcohol and usually find it challenging to finish when so, she then proceeded to get ontop of me and once again we were having sex, this probably lasted about 10-20 seconds again before I made her get off of me once again exclaiming how irresponsible it was, finally she gave me oral again for about 20 minutes before i finally finished. Now I do understand that sometimes precum can move previously ejaculated sperm into the vagina but as the last time I had ejacualted was 12 hours before I probably urinated several times since, obviously I am aware that there is a chance that she could be pregnant, and I have no clue where she was In her cycle. The next morning I gave her the money to purchase the emergency contraceptive pill, but as we both had to rush off to work, i didnt actually see her take it, I have no reason to doubt that she did as she has assured me she had about 12 hours after the sexual encounter, now I do realise that if she had taken the pill there would be astronomical odds that she would be pregnant, but my question is, given the above scenario, and if we were to presume she didn't take the emergency contraceptive pill, what would the chances be that she is pregnant?(as stated above I know there are an infinite amount of factors involved including ovulation etc etc, I'm just looking for an opinion and an estimate). Also the encounter was about 2 weeks ago so as far as I know, she could have had her period by now, but I'm reluctant to ask due to fear of being annoying or accusational. As you can probably tell, I am quite the skeptical and anxious person. Please don't just respond with: there's a chance, I'm well aware of that, I'm just looking for your educated opinion on the odds, I'm well aware that some fertile couples copulate during ovulation for several months before achieving pregnancy, but I'm also aware that it's all chance. So please, leave your opinion and as much detail as possible.