I just received a text a few days ago from a woman I had unprotected sex with almost 16 weeks ago who informed me she just recently tested positive for HIV. Fortunately for these questions I know the exact date of key events. According to her she contracted it about three weeks prior to us having sex which puts her at a highly infectious state. The week after being with me she came down with ars. Six weeks and one day after our encounter i got tested 4th gen duo negative. The day after taking my test I got a 5 day intense flu like illness. A few days ago I did two oraquick oral swab tests after she texted me both of which were negative. I am scheduled for an appointment on Monday to get another lab test where I will be almost 16 weeks out. My concern is that if I was a late seroconverter and got ars the day after my 6 week 4th gen test then the antibody portion of that test is not reliable. That leaves the p24 portion and through my research testing for p24 only has a 55-75% level of accuracy. That would leave the oral swabs which have only a 92% level in detecting positives.
1. What percentage of people take 6weeks to seroconvert?
2. Everything I read says the fourth gen test is 95+% accurate at 6weeks and some even say it's conclusive. How can this be the case if some don't seroconvert till 6 weeks or later and the test is essentially only relying on p24 which has a pretty low sensitivity?
3. On the oraquick test I learned that some of the 8% false negatives are due possibly to user error or problems with the equipment. I did the test right and used two so I feel like I don't have that factor. What is left from what I read is 95% when that is factored out based on clinical results with the same test. I would assume this 5% just hadn't produced the p41 antibody the test uses even at 13+ weeks out. given all of these facts how nervous should I be on this final lab test?