'Sticker Shock' Ahead on Health Insurance
By David Pittman, Washington Correspondent, MedPage Today
Published: February 05, 2013
WASHINGTON -- Separate surveys released this week give dramatically different outlooks for two groups of people under the Affordable Care Act (ACA): the young, healthy worker and the part-time worker.
Premiums for a healthy, nonsmoking, 27-year-old in a "bronze" -- or relatively inexpensive -- small-group or individual policy would increase on average by 169% in five markets in 2014, a survey of major health insurers by the conservative American Action Forum (AAF) found.
Meanwhile, premiums for an unhealthy, 55-year-old smoker in a more generous gold-rated policy would decrease by 22%, on average, in those same five markets in 2014.
"The results surveyed above indicate that there will be massive sticker shock to the relatively young and healthy in both the small group and individual markets," the AAF report said. Those increases essentially subsidize the ACA mandated coverage of sicker individuals and limits on variations in premiums between groups of insured such as men and women, the report noted.
ACA mandates coming in 2014 include the mandate for individuals to purchase insurance; minimal coverage requirements for insurers; coverage of pre-existing conditions for adults; limits on premium variation based on age, gender, health status, or group size; new fees and taxes; and other new rules.
The AAF sought to understand how these changes would play out in different markets. It sent a survey to an unspecified number of major insurers and asked them to forecast the ACA's impact on small-group and individual plans in six cities.
Results showed premiums would increase for young, healthy individuals by an average of 190% in Milwaukee and 157% in Phoenix -- the city with the lowest increase for the group.
To put a dollar amount on that, the average current monthly premium in Chicago, Phoenix, Atlanta, Austin, and Milwaukee is $2,047 for young, healthy workers in a small-group plan. The AAF survey found it will jump to around $5,124 in 2014 with the ACA changes.
However, premiums would drop 32% for older, less healthy individuals in Austin, Texas, the largest drop for the surveyed cities, and by 15% in Milwaukee, the smallest drop for a city.
Premiums for older, less healthy workers in a small-group plan in those same five cities would drop from $14,534 today to $10,706 next year, the AAF survey found.
Both groups of enrollees would be helped economically in some cases by federal tax credits available for those making between 100% and 400% of the federal poverty level, if they purchased insurance through a health insurance exchange.
"By eliminating or constraining these 'rating factors' that result in the variation in today's market, the ACA in 2014 increases the premium for the young and healthier and lowers the premium for the older and sicker," the AAF survey said. "The same would be true if there were a law reforming automobile insurance."
The AAF survey didn't specify which health insurers participated in its survey but did say it wouldn't have published results without at least four respondents for each city. Albany, N.Y., was the only city it asked about whose results weren't published.
A separate survey from the ADP Research Institute, also released this week, says the ACA's penalties for employers to offer coverage to employees could result in more of today's part-time workers receiving coverage.
"The shared responsibility provision of the ACA may result in employees who are currently classified as part-time being reclassified as full-time, meaning the employer must offer coverage to those employees or face a potential penalty," ADP's 2012 Study of Large Employer Health Benefits said.
In 2012, 23% of all employee positions were classified as part-time and only 15% of those were eligible for benefits, the survey found. The survey was based on roughly 300 companies with at least 1,000 employees.
The ACA mandates that any employee working at least 30 hours per week, or 130 hours per month, must be offered employer-sponsored health coverage that meets certain requirements if the business employs 50 or more full-time workers.
"The ACA will require employers to extend health coverage to more part-time employees, and employers need to carefully consider the best approach for their organization," the report stated.
On Monday -- the same morning the AAF released its survey -- Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius said the government must reach out to young people currently uninsured who may not know they can gain federal assistance to buy coverage through a health insurance exchange or marketplace. Young people are particularly tough to reach, she noted.
"If we're going to fulfill the full promise of the Affordable Care Act and insure millions of Americans, we need to reach these people," Sebelius said Monday.
http://www.medpagetoday.com/Washington-Watch/Reform/37205