Hi,
I know that some people do not like to discuss odds (or numbers), but can someone who does not mind confirm that I am doing the math correctly here:
I had a condom break during insertive anal sex. The risk of HIV acquisition is theoretically 6.5 out of 10,000 (.065%) assuming he was HIV positive. I do not know him, and cannot get in touch with him. He claimed that he was negative, but I obviously do not know the truth. I do know that he lives in Chelsea though.
Anyway, I am currently on PEP. But I am assuming an 85% chance that PEP would work to fend off an HIV infection (assuming infection).
Given the .065% general rate of infection for insertive anal sex, and the 85% reduction of this, should I be able to breathe a bit easier? I am extremely worried, and will certainly test 6 weeks and 3 months after my last PEP doses. That said, it could be a bit alleviating if my math is correct here. Am I correct in assuming that I most likely will not acquire HIV from this incident?
Thank you