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Telaprevir, Boceprevir ... Should I TX?

by GreatBird, Nov 25, 2008 05:39PM
Hi All,

It's been an eon since I asked a question here (at least a year--or maybe several), but this is how it stands. I just got the results back from the biopsy I had done last week. It shows absolutely no change (grade and stage wise) since the last biopsy I had in 2002, almost exactly six years ago. (I am a grade 1, stage 2). I have geno 1b. Usually a low-ish VL (under 1mil) and no symptoms (every time I think it's the hep it turns out to be something like menopause or Vit D deficiency or the like). I think I've been infected for almost 50 years (since I was six or seven).

As a TX naive patient, I have been asked to participate in the Boceprevir study. I am very interested in doing this because I have the time with relatively few commitments and the chances of clearance are finally good enough that it's very tempting. I'm also not getting any younger, and am currently insured (even though I got laid off from a job in July). (Not that I need insurance for the study, but it makes me feel more secure about the whole thing.)

So, one of my questions is: is there any advantage of Telaprevir over Boceprevir?

From the little information I've found, it sounds like Boceprevir has fewer sides and they both seem to be enough of a "magic pill" to make the SOC actually work (at least more of the time). My understanding of the Boceprevir trial is that of the three arms, if I end up on the non-PI arm and officially don't clear, at that point they would give me the PI.

I'm looking to the wise and knowledgeable folk on this board to let me know what they think. Should I? Shouldn't I? Is there an advantage to waiting any longer? I've always been adamant about waiting (a looong time ago I got into some rather rough words with folks on this board because my stance was so unpopular), and felt a definite advantage at not messing with my strain of HCV and immune system. So now it's somewhat weird to be standing at the starting line, and I'm a bit uncertain. Your thoughts and opinions, please.
Member Comments (50)

by Rockerforlife, Nov 25, 2008 06:42PM
Hey...you are very lucky to have such low damage to your liver after 50 years...i am currently in the BOC trial ...i really dont know the pros and cons of BOC and Telepreir...i do know with Boc there is no rash like the TEL...also in the BOC   we eventually get the drugs...great advantage i think....but as far as, if you should even tx ?...i think you should at a stage 2...i can post some info later on the trials..just my opiinion BTW

by Rockerforlife, Nov 25, 2008 06:45PM
You said you got into some rough words with certain folks here...LOL....join the club...there ia always a-holes where ever ya go.

by GreatBird, Nov 25, 2008 07:18PM
To: Rockerforlife
It wasn't so much rough words, but I got slammed for not wanting to treat. But, the climate for that has changed around here, which I think is good. I don't think the people who disagreed with me were necessarily a-holes, but I certainly believe they were wrong. ;)

by copyman, Nov 25, 2008 07:23PM
there are a few advantages to Telaprevir. First there is a chance you will be cured in half the time, 24 weeks. Second if you get into the trial that is recruiting right now it is an "open label" study, which means EVERYONE gets the REAL drug, NO placebo! It is great not to have the added stress wondering if you got the real drug or not. Good luck whatever you decide

by can-do-man, Nov 25, 2008 07:33PM
To: greatbird
One thing to think of is rescue drugs, boceprevir allows them, telaprevir does not. Best to you in whatever you decide. BTW this board is VERY biased towards telaprevir, alot of shareholders here

by Rockerforlife, Nov 25, 2008 07:37PM
Its a tough call then...it would be for me....but we get the real drugs  too with the BOC trial after 12 weeks...not sure how that works tho...the rash is pretty bad i hear with the TEL....maybe flip a coin...looks like you have your research work cut out for you...good luck...they are both good trials in my book

by Marcia2202, Nov 25, 2008 07:37PM
To: GreatBird
Hi. I don't know, if I am that knowledgeable, but I just wanted to offer my opinion.

I am a person who likes to get things done and over with. So I personally decided to treat right away. Also it seemed to be the best time in my life to do it. Many factors like health, work (or rather not having to work at the moment), future plans, etc... It fit in perfectly into my life where I am at the moment. And then I also had the strong feeling that it was the right thing for me to do now.

If I was in your situation, you already being a person who has been weighing this for years, I would definitely go for the PI's. Be it in a trial or wait for them to come out. I find it really amazing, that it will shorten the time of treatment. These drugs are strong and I find it highly advisable to be exposed as short as necessary. You can always quit the trial, if you are not getting the real thing.

I did not always think this way, but the longer I have been on the forum the more I see ppl having burned out their thyroids and all sorts of other sides. So I believe that the least amount of time one is exposed to these meds, the better.

If you decide to wait until the drugs come out, I would advice to have a new biopsy in already 2 years and to have some less invasive test in 1 year. Just to be sure, as you've had it for such a long time.

The pro's with a trial are the cost and the close monitoring and that they are available now. The cons are no rescue drugs.

The pro's for waiting, is that you will be sure to get the drug and rescue drugs if needed.

All the best,

Marcia



by Rockerforlife, Nov 25, 2008 07:39PM
NO WAY....sahreholders?....YOU ARE NOT SERIOUS?....this is not right....and some post a link on healthy topics and gets in trouble?....but they can pump up a stock?....something is wrong with this picture

by Rockerforlife, Nov 25, 2008 07:42PM
The rescue drugs with BOC is a big plus....why do we have to keep making these choices....they should just help us all now....for free....and stop the madness

by jacksonblue, Nov 25, 2008 09:37PM
To: great bird
these our both very good drugs you must decide 30 percent chance of rash 10 percent chance rash will be so bad treatment stopped 24 weeks less treatment no rescue drugs or boc or you could wait on telaprivir to come to market probably late 2010 early 2011i think boc will be a little later i am currently treating with telapriver in week 8 no rash a little more icthing neg between week 1 and two actually so far this has been easiest treatment to date and this is 4 th time treating maybe because viris gone so fast or maybe physcological just knowing this any other time treating best has been neg week 22 i do not have any stocks in this best of luck in your decision regards

by copyman, Nov 25, 2008 09:45PM
LOL, shareholders have nothing to do with the fact about getting the "real" drug or doing just 24 weeks!  I think this outweighs all other options. not to have to guess if you are getting the placebo or after 48 weeks you find out you relapsed because you did not get the PI.  And to cut the time in half that the poison is in your body!  well it was a no brainer for me.  I was offered both studies and chose Telaprevir for those reasons.

by helpnikki, Nov 25, 2008 09:47PM
FYI; Vertex reported incorrect findings in their 2 quarter report... investors business daily magazine had a small blurb a couple months ago.....not sure what discrepancies were but worth checking out if on it or considering it.....

by fretboard, Nov 25, 2008 10:09PM
To: greatbird
There's really not much difference between the two, except the telaprevir has that nasty rash that affects a small percentage of ppl.  As far as getting off in 24wks., with the BOC tx-naive you can get off in 28wks.  Not only that, but if you need Procrit in the BOC, don't worry about it the study pays for it.  The one angle that moves the telaprevir a little bit forward is you do have the chance to clear or be UND superfast.  Back to you and your situation, no need to run out and tx.  You said you don't have any symptoms from your HepC, so leave it alone, that's just my opinion.  Some ppl don't have to tx, believe it, it's true.  good luck

by can-do-man, Nov 25, 2008 10:57PM
To: copyman
Not quite sure what post your lol at as i've reread them and can't find any that suggest that shareholders have any thing to do with getting the real drug. As for this board being biased, i stand by that. Has been for as long as ive been coming here. All started a few years ago with a member with the nic CTON. He pumped this stock on a daily basis.

Sad thing is theres some longtime members here that don't even know there is other pi's out there except for telaprevir. As you know there is a very limited amount of slots available for any trial and to pretend that only telaprevir could be the cure all is being a dis-service to alot of fellow heppers. BTW i am not in any way saying you are saying this.

I was also offered the chance at both trials. As a relapser i decided to go with the boceprevir only because of the rescue drugs being allowed. As i needed procrit early on in my first tx, i would rather tx a few extra weeks then risk a dose reduction early on and lower my overall chances of svr.

And no i'm not a shareholder in either stock and think telaprevir is very promising along with a few other new drugs in the pipeline. One thing i do know is there is plenty of us heppers to make all these companys alot of money.

cando

by Tippyclubb, Nov 25, 2008 11:04PM
To: GreatBird
To treat or not?  Great question, for it is one I have struggled with also.  I've had this virus for at least 30 years and after finding out a year and a half ago, I decided not to treat.  Stage 1, Grade 2 and no symptons so I felt time was on my side.  However, I have found this virus is always lurking around in the back of my mind.  I thought I could just forget about it, and get on with my life.  I never forget about this monster, and wonder if this will be the cause of my death, and regret my decision not to treat.

About a year ago I called a research coordinator in my area and was put on a list for upcoming trials.  I knew then, the only trial I would accept would be the Vertex Telaprevir.  After many hours of researching and reading this board I choose this one, because treatment time could be 6 months, it has a 70% (?)  success rate, and there is no placebo.   Also I am getting older and I gather your age has something to do with clearing the virus.  Plus I want to do this while I am still strong.  Another reason is the treatment is free.  

Lots of things to consider.  The timing in my life is right,  because I am semi retired now and working is not a issue.  Most importantly, it bothers me deeply knowing the virus is there.  I want to be rid of it.  I always said I would not treat unless they called me.  Now they have, and its time to treat.  Guess I got lucky, for they made my decision easier to make.  Even then I wonder if its the right thing.

After all these years of deciding not to treat, what has made you consider possible treatment?  

by GreatBird, Nov 25, 2008 11:44PM
To: Tippyclubb
Good question. Here's a rambling answer.

It's not that I wasn't going to treat. The question was when. I needed the time. The opportunity. And I needed to be able to trust the outcome.

Considering I've always been a-symptomatic with a relatively healthy liver, I've never been willing to go with 50/50 odds. That's just not good enough for all the trouble and potential loss of health that I've seen with the people who were txing.

Up until this past July, I've worked full-time as a television Associate Director. That's the person with the stopwatch who keeps time on shows. You have to be able to make quick calculations and keep everybody aware of what's happening next. It's not the kind of job you can do with brain fog and it worried me that I'd either make some horrendous mistake that would take out a live show, or have to stop and go out on disability which would have been financial ruin to my family, since I was the sole support. (And then maybe not get my job back.)

Then I got laid off in July and my last child went off to college. We moved and have been able to cut way back on expenses. I'm at the age where finding another job in my field isn't likely (which is even an understatement). So, there's a window of opportunity I've never had before.

For several years, my doctor and I been waiting for phase III trials on the VX-950 because that seemed like a good opportunity. I like the idea of being in a trial and working with people who are very knowledgeable about the state of the art in tx and who also are available to me and checking my progress on a very regular and frequent basis. (Diva? Me? Not really. ;)  )  I like the idea of free meds (and labs) even though I have insurance.

When I first found out I had HCV, they seemed to be treating it via shotgun method. They weren't pulling people off tx because they weren't clearing. They weren't extending tx either. It was obvious even to me, that there was too much mystery involved.  Now they seem to have a much better handle on what they are doing, which includes being better able to predict a patient's outcome.  

I want to treat while I'm still in my 50's. I don't like the virus, not because it's bothering me, but because there is always the possibility of passing it on to someone else. And even though I'm relatively healthy with it, there's no guarantee it will always be like this. I have two friends who have died from HCV.

I would like to know what it's like to live without the virus.

Right now, things have fallen into place like a jigsaw puzzle with all the pieces. It makes me feel like the time is right. I haven't started yet, but it's looking good.

But I've waited so long. It's hard to know if it really is time to jump into the pool.

by epiphiny, Nov 25, 2008 11:57PM
To: GreatBird
I feel the same as Tippy, I really want the virus out of me, as far as I am concerned it is a foreign invader and not welcome in my house!!!  

I have felt this way ever since I found out I had it about 20-something years but I was told back then there was no treatment for me.  If I could have, I would have treated back then because yes, your age has a bearing on how well you respond to treatment as does how long you have had the virus on board.  Unfortunately in my current treatment is still NOT available for non-1 non-cirrhotic HCV infected patients.

In my book treat the sooner the better, esp as the new drugs are available to you.

This year I jumped on a trial; and it has been the best thing I have done.  For the first time in 20 years I'm able to do something to really fight the alien and I am currently UND.  And that feels GOOD!

All the best with your decision!

Epi :)

PS:  I reckon you should go for it!

by GreatBird, Nov 25, 2008 11:58PM
To: copyman, can-do-man, Rockerforlife, Marcia2202, jacksonblue, helpnikki, and fretboard
Thanks all for weighing in. There's a lot of good information here.

Can-do-man, excellent point about the rescue drugs. I'm all in favor of them if needed. It bothered me that they were not available for the Teleprevir. I've always been borderline anemic. It's just my genetics. (Sometimes I wonder if that hasn't helped keep the virus at bay.) Doesn't mean I'll have a worse time than anyone else, but it's something to remember.

All really good points, Marcia, and you cited many of the reasons I'm thinking to do it now. The less exposure the better. I *do* like my thyroid. I'm willing for it to take a hit, but only only only if I have my very best shot at getting rid of the hep C.

jacksonblue, glad to hear you've dodged the rash. That does concern me about the teleprevir. I have a small patch of psoraisis (psoriasis) and wonder if that would make me more prone to difficulty . . . or not.

fretboard, i thought that the teleprevir and the Boceprevir both gave early clearance. Do you mean because of the four-week lead-up in the Boceprevir? and yes, you are completely right. some people don't need to treat. but at what point can you really be sure of that?  

by GreatBird, Nov 26, 2008 12:04AM
To: epiphiny
With a moniker like yours, I think I should pay attention to what you have to say!

Yes, like you and Tippy it does bother me to have the virus. My concern is more about passing it on, though.

(You see, I really think there are more virally things we carry that we don't know about. They just haven't figured out what they are yet. Some may be beneficial, some maybe not.)

by epiphiny, Nov 26, 2008 12:06AM
To: GreatBird
I notice you said you were an Associate Director for TV, and that you are responsible for the keeping the show running on time, on target...I also work in TV (here in NZ) and I am an Assistant Director (for drama shows) responsible for keeping the show on time, on target.  I am not sure if our roles are the same, similar or vastly different (I don't use a stopwatch, just my wristwatch!) BUT....

I have managed to continue working on set and scheduling whilst txing, brain fog and all, and so far I haven't come a cropper.  It can be managed, particularly if you are experienced in your role.  I know you said you are not currently working but I thought I'd mention that it can be done!

It does seem as though everything is falling in to place for you, in the same way it all fell in to place for me.  It's all about timing in this life, and the flow is certainly going your way it seems....

Epi :)

by epiphiny, Nov 26, 2008 12:12AM
To: GreatBird
That was my MOST profound fear in the last 20 years.  And I still worry when I am around small children and cuts and grazes, just all those little niggly things, cutting my finger and mopping up my blood, hairbrushes, toothbrushes, nail scissors etc even tho I know the statistics and methods and risks of transmitting the virus.

I suspect I will always worry about those things for the rest of my life but it sure feels good to know that I am doing everything I can to help stem the transmission and solve a global health problem!

by fretboard, Nov 26, 2008 03:05AM
To: greatbird
"fretboard, i thought that the teleprevir and the Boceprevir both gave early clearance. Do you mean because of the four-week lead-up in the Boceprevir? and yes, you are completely right. some people don't need to treat. but at what point can you really be sure of that"?  

If it really bothers you that you have HepC, then by all means tx.  As far as the BOC, yes you can get a quick UND, but it does have that 4wk lead in, so it will never be as fast as telaprevir can be.  This tx is not like anything you've ever been thru, and I don't even know you, but I bet I'm right.lol   I had to start to get some peace and quiet from what I was going thru.  If not for all the pain and swelling I guess I would still be waiting.  Txing will rock your world, so prepare for it and educate yourself.  There is absolutely, no way to predict what you are gonna go thru, and there is no way to predict that you don't have to tx.  good luck with your decision


by copyman, Nov 26, 2008 06:15AM
To: can do
It was your post i was laughing at. i find it obsurd that you would think people here would push telaprevir because of being shraeholders. since i have been here the last several years there have not been that many people that treated in the vertex trials, and only a few times talk about vertex stock on this site but never to influence someone to opt for telaprevir over boceprevir. Do you really think Vertex or shareholders need to sway people into their trials? there are people knocking down doors to get into the Telaprevir trials.
All i can comment on is what Telaprevir has done for me. Starting VL 10 million, after  20 days.....UNDETECTABLE. That is all that is important and all I really care about.

by can-do-man, Nov 26, 2008 06:24AM
To: copy
I think you missed my point, but i am glad i was able to make you laugh. And really i wish you the best of luck.

by copyman, Nov 26, 2008 11:29AM
To: can-do
perhaps I missed some of your point but i still have to disagree that people here are more biased towards Telaprevir. The reason it may seem like that is because Boceprevir seemed like it just came out of nowhere a year or so ago, so more people have treated with Telaprevir.  As for CTON that was a long time ago and is history. I can understand that we are doing the different studies and want to stand by our choice. Thanks for the well wishes and I wish the same for you. This Thanksgiving lets give thanks for being able to have the chance to participate in a study with these promising new drugs. God bless

by GreatBird, Nov 26, 2008 11:35AM
To: epiphiny
Wow. A global sister in TV, huh? ;)  

I think the jobs are different when you work on a drama vs. what I've done which is news and public affairs programming--most often live. I keep the show segments to time, count in the taped roll-ins, and deal with crazy producers (I'm sure that part is no different ). Actually, for the past four years I was mostly in editing, so I think I lost some of my edge anyway. As it is, I'm about half-retired because of the layoff and being fifty-four in this business is somewhat ancient.

One of my biggest fears after I found out I had HCV was that my kids and the DH also had it, but I was very, very lucky that all those years, all those boo-boos and bandaids, none of it got transmitted. Still, I get worried. Like recently when I was pilling the cat and he scratched me and then the DH, and that sent me into a BIG tizzy. (The DH thought I needed to chill about it--he wasn't worried at all, but guess what. He's getting tested again whether he likes it or not. At least once I clear he is.)

Thanks for the encouragement! Hang tough. And keep 'em on schedule. :)

by GreatBird, Nov 26, 2008 11:43AM
To: fretboard
Trust  me. I know it's going to be very difficult. That's one of the reasons I've waited. I'm willing to do the difficult, though, *if* it's going to work. I've been reading hepC boards on and off for six years, so I've seen the highs and lows of it. I'm not so sure that knowing what I do is good, because sometimes it's better not to anticipate. Still, knowing the potential potholes on the road will help me not to freak out when I hit one.

Are you on one of the clinical trials?

by Fl_Gator, Nov 26, 2008 12:17PM
To: GB
The following is what I have experienced so far...

I am in a Vertex trial...just finishing week #24. I didn't get the "rash". I learned that only 9% of patients get the "rash". I did itch a bit but found relief in a nice shea butter cream. I have fatigue and brain fog but most days weren't too bad. I developed some anxiety and appathy around week 10-11 and went on AD's. I did feel better after week 12 but it's hard to say why. I got more sleep as I didn't have to stay up late to take meds after week 12, I went on the AD's and went off the tripple therapy which could have been Telaprevir. My HGB dropped around week 5 or 6 and I took a riba reduction but no rescue drugs. I am still winded but my HGB is on the rise.

In six months I hope to report SVR. I wish you the best in what ever you decide to do.

Gator

by willing, Nov 26, 2008 01:21PM
To: GB
well, well, finally taking the plunge..sounds like ayou've got a sound plan - with your profile I assume you're looking at odds in the high 70s or better with either of the ns3a PIs. Because of the different dosing regimes used in the Phase II trials it's hard to make a direct comparison  but my impression is that the results are quite close. The Phase III data will make comparison easier, but given the similar underlying mechanism of the PIs and similar escape mutation profile, surprises seem unlikely.  As best I can tell, the schedule for departing buses for SVR looks like (1) the ns3s phase III trials leaving now, (2) the phase II/III for r7128 trial 900518 and other gen II drugs over the next two years (3) tx post-TV/BC approval around 2011 and (4)  combined ns3/ns5b PI trials starting ?

I'm in worse shape but still stalling because as a relapser I think I'll need better odds - probably bus 3 so I can at least add alinia, statins  and anything else that crops up between now and then.

by can-do-man, Nov 26, 2008 03:01PM
To: copy
No problem here my friend, heck i disagree with myself alot.:) I know one thing we will both agree on and that is we want everybody rid of this c.r.a.p. God bless and happy thanksgiving to you and yours.

Willing good to see you here, and thanks for all yours and frijoles help.

by GreatBird, Nov 26, 2008 09:24PM
To: FL_gator, willing
Gator--oh best of luck with the final results. I'm rooting for you. And thanks for sharing your experiences.

willing--yes. i am willing to take the plunge. finally. and truly. ;) thanks for letting me know what is coming down the pipeline. i have had my eyes on VX950 (and the like) for quite some time. it's exciting to see there are more developments. it also seems that they are FINALLY thinking to tailor the tx to at least some variables with each patient instead of treating everyone with the same genotype the same. can you imagine how amazing it will be when they are able to really take an individual's genetic makeup and medical history into account when they devise a cure cocktail?

by fretboard, Nov 26, 2008 09:52PM
To: greatbird
Yes I'm in a BOC trial, I was excluded from a telaprevir trial back at the beginning of the year.  I always took that as a blessing as I feel very comfortable being in the study that I'm in, I only been in for 2 shots worth, so I just started.  I'm glad to hear that you have educated yourself on HepC and the various tx plans and trials going forward.  I have insurance as well, I didn't choose a trial to have someone pay for it as much as I like the personal care and monitoring that they do.  Early on I was seeing a GI under my insurance and he was just an idiot.  I met his NP and I asked her a few questions, she was nice enough, but her attitude toward me was very indifferent.  At that point I realized, that I was just gonna get my meds from them and that would be it.  There are alot of doctors and healthcare professionals who still look down on us heppers, that's how the GI and my HMO was.  I was glad that I went back to the clinical trial site and found me an opening.   good luck  

by jmjm530, Nov 28, 2008 01:11PM
With no progression in six years you have time to wait for the drugs to come out of trial.

You will then have both more information on comparative results as well as more latitude which would make treatment more individualized with the right liver specialist.

Watch and Wait requires patience as these drugs come down to the finish line but they're almost there.

As to which is better now, I'd do a lot more independent research but if I had to choose now  it would be Telaprevir hands down. They have the head start and just look at all the folks here like Andiamo who already SVR'd with Telaprevir. Seems like Bocaprevir is just getting going.

Docs offer you whatever trials they have slots to fill and not necessarily what's best for you.

Be well,

Jim

by willing, Nov 29, 2008 12:32AM
To: cando GB
cando - hope you had a  good thanksgiving - and best of luck going forward

GB - yeah, brave new world indeed; think of the level of confusion around here once there's  a dozen different options to mix and match...

As far as tx vs bc - my sense is you're making a good choice. . Telaprevir has yet to report anything that tops boceprevir's 74% svr12 from sprint II (and since that's ITT you can expect better odds if you follow though with tx).  However, Schering's current edge is likely to be short-lived  : Vertex's prove II reported  69% on patients in the T12/PR24 arm and once their 48W data comes in they'll presumably at least match Schering.

by DragonSlayer45, Nov 29, 2008 07:45AM
To: GreatBird
I agree with Jim, he is usually right on with  his advice.

With no change in 6 years you may have to to wait to see how the other drugs shake out. I am in a early trial of the polymerase inhibitor R7128. I cleared by week 4 (VL 8 million to UND) and I was still clear at week 24.

The early data showed 88% of geno 1's (naive) cleared at week 4, and 90% of geno 2 and 3 non-responders. It has shown no evidence of viral mutation and had no adverse sides. Unfortunately you still have to take it with peg and riba and get all those sides. It is still early and SVR data is not back. I imagine in 6-9 months that data willbe in for the early arms.

My guess is future trials will shorten the duration of the peg/ riba part to 24 weeks from 48, but that is just a guess. It is not based on anything I have heard. It would be nice if they can lose that part altogether.

Ultimately this is a personal choice and one you have to weigh for yourself. If you are not comfortable wait, if you are comfortable with what is going on then treat. They are making great progress with these new drugs. Just remember that they are still using them with Peg and Riba. Those drugs are not a picnic.

Here is study if you want to read what I referred to on R7128:

http://www.natap.org/2008/AASLD/AASLD_22.htm

by willing, Dec 01, 2008 09:57PM
To: DS
no doubt that r7128 is one of the more promising stat-c candidates - and congratulations on getting into the study and on your RVR. However, as far as  I know, there are not yet any large scale studies recruiting  for it -  in fact Roche/Pharmaset seem to be dragging their heels in that regard (perhaps you as have some insight as to why, particularly now that r1626 trials are not likely?)

However with respect to waiting, you really have to ask yourself what you're waiting for ("Good things might come to those who wait; Not to those who wait too late "). For someone with GB's profile, the odds from BC (lead in + 48)  appear to be around 80% and are likely to be at least that for TV/48 based on the prove 2 data.  Reasons to wait might be even better odds or shorter - say 24w tx but both of those are far from certain. For example, assuming a generous 90% SVR rate amon the R7128 RVRs still gets you back to the same 80%. Meanwhile the clock keeps ticking , with accompanying fibrosis progression and decreasing SVR odds.

by jmjm530, Dec 01, 2008 10:23PM
To: Willing
Willing: However with respect to waiting, you really have to ask yourself what you're waiting for
-------------------------------
First, as you stated, one might wait for both better odds and/or shorter treatment duration.

But the other thing is that "watch and wait" doesn't mean necessarily waiting for any particular treatment. In short, one might simply wait to wait, or another way of saying is that one waits because one prefers not treating to treating.

Assuming that the HCV isn't impacting one's health outside the liver, and assuming the liver is being monitored and no progression is noted -- it's very reasonable to simply wait until one reaches a point where treatment might be indicated either because of health factors or liver damage.

In other words not treating is a decision in and of itself to be compared against treating which has its inherent risks. So at the point one decides to treat, then jump in with the best treatment available.

That is in fact what I and many other "waiters" did. I wasn't waiting for Telaprevir or Boceprevir (they didn't exist) -- I waited for many years because I felt the risk of treating outweighed the risks of not treating.

In very, very short -- for some treatment may never be necessary -- and could reasonably withheld  until even a more gentle and more effective treatment comes along.

by jmjm530, Dec 01, 2008 10:27PM
Just to summarize in a personal sense, my life and health (outside my liver) is not better since treatment. To the contrary. Treatment lost me two years of work and friends and aged me ten years. Nothing was better afterward. Yes, I felt I made the right decision because I was told between stage 3 and stage 4. But if I was told I was stage 2, no way would I have treated then. And knowing what I do now, no no way would I treat as a stage 2 to do it all over again. But of course, YMMV.

by jmjm530, Dec 01, 2008 10:33PM
Willing: Willing: However with respect to waiting, you really have to ask yourself what you're waiting for
-------------------------------
One last point. If one does make a decision as stage 2 to treat in the near future, then one reason to wait at least for a year or so is to wait for current trial data to mature and for the drugs to come to market. At that point one can not only make a more informed decision about which PI mix to jump into but also partake in individualized treatment including helper drugs, more frequent viral load testing as well as addittives such as Alinia, Statins, and whatever else looks promising at the time.

by jmjm530, Dec 01, 2008 10:35PM
To: correction
"a year or so" may be as long as three years for the drugs to come to market (not currently following the scheduling)  but the point is the same and we will certainly know more in a year than we do now.

by willing, Dec 02, 2008 09:45PM
To: jim
>my life and health (outside my liver) is not better since treatment

from the perspective of one still dealing with hcv infection that parenthesized qualification is an important one. H**, we're all dying, and can fully expect each day to get progressively worse - but there's no sense rushing things. To delay tx without good cause, after say 50 or so, seems unwise. The prevailing view of fibrosis progression, as I understand it, is not linear. Past a certain point it picks up sharply  with age and fibrosis level eg
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/14960533



The tx-related 10X aging is also something I experienced, and am not looking forward to, but the alternative looks worse.

stay well.

by Bill1954, Dec 02, 2008 10:00PM
To: Willing
Sorry to interrupt this joint dissertation in philosophy, but I was wondering how the laparoscopic Bx results turned out; last we talked, you were still shaking the anesthetic out of your noggin.  And other than that—how are you?

Bill

by willing, Dec 02, 2008 10:19PM
To: Bill
yeah - I still have scars from the holes (and a lot of blood-stained t-shirts). The whole exercise made me deeply suspicious of the accuracy of staging. The surgeon got plenty of tissue, separate cores from each lobe, and some nice glossy pictures.

Then the pathology reports... I got 3 readings one from a world-class hepatologist, the other from transplant centers at Stanford and Pittsburgh (wanted to make sure). Two of the three agreed with each other and with the previous, standard percutaneous bx (some areas 1 some 2). The third, on the same slides, saw evidence of much more advanced progression with bridging - which would be much more consistent with the fibroscan results.

So go figure... at this point I've run out of experts; and am not really inclined to keep taking out more chunks just to see what stage I'm at (reminds me of that cartoon where Donald Duck destroys the house while chasing a mosquito). The experience has made me more philosophical about what it means to know something..

So when do those 12w test results come in ?

by jmjm530, Dec 02, 2008 10:25PM
Will: To delay tx without good cause, after say 50 or so, seems unwise.
----------------------------------
We are much in  general agreement -- although "age 50" could be debated. The disagreement is what is "good cause". Which leads to the reverse your statement which is equally true --  "To treat without good cause, after say --- or so, seems unwise".

We are in a unique point in time where " new drugs should be out in a couple of years" is no longer wishful thinking but the most probably outcome of trials and the subsequent FDA approval process. Waiting a year or so, as not to age ten --  with often the accompanying "outing" of latent autoimmune conditions --  is certainly something for anyone in the treatment decision making process to think about.

by jmjm530, Dec 02, 2008 10:36PM
As you know, I went through a similar exercise -- four pathologists same slides. What I learned is that the language can be as important as the numbers since different pathologists will grade differently. But in a technical sense, unless the bridging is complete, it's stage 2 and not 3. Stage 2.5 (which one pathologist gave me) turned out to be stage 2 when pressed because technically you must stage in whole numbers. The pathologist who gave me a 2.5 took a half hour with me to explain how my staging was done and actually let me look into the microscope. He was quite adamant that my previous stage 3 was incorrect as the bridging was not complete enough. Given all they took from you, my guess is that the little liver you have left is probably a solid 2 for the most part. So now you have four readings :)

-- Jim

by jmjm530, Dec 02, 2008 10:38PM
I guess the point I buried was that your readings are probably not as far apart as at first glance. Certainly you're not stage 0 or 1 and it also appears you're far from cirrhosis. You're somewhere in the Middle Class, like many of us!

by Bill1954, Dec 02, 2008 11:36PM
To: Willing
Perversely, solid evidence of stage 3 w/complete bridging would have at least made the decision for you. I’m impressed with the amount of diagnostics that went onto this, but I see what you mean; you now have a plethora of knowledge, and are really no closer to decision time based on data, anyway. This one might have to come from the heart or gut, rather than intellect.

How is your life right now in terms of timing? Do you have any windows of opportunity opening soon that might make a year’s Tx any less painful in terms of stress?

As usual, Jim makes some *very* good points for postponement; I haven’t had the opportunity to review any of the abstracts from the November meeting in SF; have you found anything from there that might warrant pushing treatment back for another year?

I dunno, Walt; you might have a chance to rewrite that White House episode; it might be better to use insecticide rather than let D. Duck destroy the whole structure. I wish there was a good answer for you, Willing; I really do.

My 30 day post TMA was RNA negative. The doc decided to nix the 90 day test; said I can wait for the six month, which is due middle of January. I see my PCP nest week; I might ask him to squeeze in enzymes, just for a preview… I was always a high-enzyme guy (~300/180) while RNA positive. This might yield a little info; but like you, I’m not quite sure what I’d do if it was positive :o).

Thanks for the update; it’s always good to hear from you—

Bill

by Keith_2008, Dec 03, 2008 06:47AM
To: All
It looks like a lot of people weighed in on this post with many different opinions. As far as treating with Boceprevir or Teleprevir they both seem to have a higher success rate than any other form of treatment I have seen. If standard care treatment (Peg interferon/ Ribavirin) has only a success rate of about 40% I could see why some people would not want to treat because your success rates are lower than 40% and the treatment is difficult and long. On the other hand if you had a success rate greater than 60% that is a whole lot different. I have seen some study's that suggest more like 75% range while on the Teleprevir or Boceprevir. It seems to me to be a no brainer as to what I should do. As far as taking the Teleprevir or the Boceprevir that could depend on a lot of factors like what's available in your area and whether or not you maybe willing to suffer more side effects in an effort to shorten the treatment time. I personally am doing the Boceprevir which has the least side effects out of the two. Knowing that these two trials have the best chance of success I don't know why someone would have a problem recommending these two trials. I also don't think you have to be a shareholder to recommend them. I personally don't know of any other trials that are having better success rates. I also believe that anyone who gets into one of these trials should consider themselves lucky considering how much these drugs cost and the fact that most people would not be able to afford them. The bottom line is that these two trials have the best chance of success which is what everyone wants. I hoping I can be successful my first time through treatment and not have the difficult situation of having to relapse and do treatment all over again. Good luck to all!
Keith

by willing, Dec 04, 2008 01:53AM
Bill : congratulations on your 30 day - and on delaying the 90! I've always thought this window of time - when one is completely  'blinded' to the status of past/current hcv infection, is a unique/valuable opportunity to try to determine whether it has any impact on  QOL. In principle, if HCV status really has any bearing on how one feels, it should be possible to make a pretty good guess about the 24w-post test before ever seeing the results... Anyway - all the best on the outcome.

Re the bxs, I'm now less inclined to trust them as a gold standard and am instead putting more faith into  composite measures (what's the trend in platelets, INR, portal/spleen sizes, etc. etc.). Basically -  as things start going south evidence should surface..

Keith/All: whereas the costs of delaying tx are a relatively gradual deterioration (in liver and svr odds) the benefits of waiting come in quantum improvements. Opportunities like the current TV/BC trials open and close. Based on the information available for tx-naive, racking up another 3 years of damage while waiting for essentially  the same odds after approval does not seem a great move.

Jim: yes, the numbers are just shorthand - but unfortunately the text (and follow up conversations) confirmed  discrepancies, both in different samples and in different interpretations. ( The last pathologist was adamant that, even after consulting with a colleague, she just didn't see what the next-to last had seen). I'll try to gather the reports and post them, but, given the choice of readings, I think I like yours the best...

by Magnum, Dec 04, 2008 04:28PM
To: GreatBird
I would wait. I'm stage 3/4 and I'm waiting after my Hepatologist's assistant said that's what she would do because I've already put my body through 4 torturous failed treatments. My last 2 biopsies (3 years apart) showed very little progression. Although I'm considered at the start of Cirrhosis, it is not a death sentence by any means.

As for the two drugs you mentioned, although I'm not a doctor and my advice is strictly my opinion, I would wait until it's released to the public, for the simple reason that you may go through the torture of the two other mandatory drugs, and get a placebo instead of one of the “miracle” drugs you mentioned. Otherwise... it's up to you. Good luck...

Magnum
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